Terence's Exit Poll

I had the privilege and pleasure of working with Terence Tolbert on the McCall general election campaign in 2002 and on Edwards in 2004.  A tribute to his leadership in Nevada this cycle can be seen in the exit polls (via Nate Silver).  Nevada voters reported a huge gap  between Obama voter contact and McCain voter contact:

% of Voters Reporting Direct Contact from Campaigns

State  Obama   McCain   Gap

NV     50%     29%      21%

Fifty percent of voters responding to the exit poll said they had been contacted by the Obama campaign.  Only 29% said they had been contacted by the McCain Obama campaign.  The 21% difference was the largest of any state where the exit polls measured voter contact. 

And did it matter?  Silver calculates that "in states where there was no contact rate advantage -- that is, states where the Obama and McCain campaigns contacted an equal number of voters -- Obama would underperform his polls by about 3 points."  The implication: Team Nevada's field work mattered a lot.

A tribute to Terence.



Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 11/09/2008 - 11:07pm.

And there lies the benefit of not living up to your campaign finance promises and accepting millions of dollars under the table.

Something to be proud of!!!!!!!


Submitted by Roy Moskowitz (not verified) on Tue, 11/11/2008 - 5:38pm.

I was able to call Nevada from the comfort of my Staten Island home on behalf of Obama.  The Obama website enabled me to generate call lists from any swing state of my choosing and enter the data online.  I was able to switch states based on time of day and was able to call Nevada until midnight east coast time because of the 3 hour time difference.  I don't know if McCain had the bodies to do this or his campaign the level of internet sophistication to permit thousands of volunteers to call out of state and enter real time data without traveling to a formal phone banking location.


Submitted by 642-566 exam (not verified) on Sat, 09/19/2009 - 4:49am.

Amid the fury and excitement of the political scene, it is often forgotten that general elections are not simply an opportunity for politicians to talk a lot, for journalists to escape their families, and members of the public to spout half-baked opinions on TV 642-611 exam. They are also a time of fun, laughter and nostalgia.

Amid the fury and excitement of the political scene, it is often forgotten that general elections are not simply an opportunity for politicians to talk a lot, for journalists to escape their families 642-691 exam, and members of the public to spout half-baked opinions on TV. They are also a time of fun, laughter and nostalgia.

Many of the most piquant moments are to be included in a hilarious ITV special called It'll Be Alright on Election Night, in which veteran observers of the political scene will share their wacky memories with the inimitable Denis Norden 642-873 exam. I'm sure the great king of TV bloopers will forgive us if we offer an early exit poll of some of its contributions.


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