A Truly New York Presidential Race: Barack Hochul Versus Mitt Turner
Saturday morning crystallized what this campaign is really about. I will now outline my theory of this year’s Presidential race.
Other have hinted around the edges of what I’m about to say, but no one’s made the connections.
It’s so simple, but maybe they don’t grasp it.
Though not directed by an Allen, Coppola or Scorsese, this year’s election will be a truly New York Story.
The most important names in this year’s Presidential race belong to two obscure New York State members of the Congress, one of whom will end his political career without serving even one full term, and another who seems virtually certain to end up in the same position.
And yet they define the parameters of the Presidential race, which is really one between Kathleen Hochul and Bob Turner.
When we look back on this year’s Presidential race, the back-story will concern political pornography: The old Times Square of grind houses, grind joints and grinding may have been transformed into a theme park more dangerous to one’s wallet than the one filled with unsavory characters, but this year’s Presidential race will still be remembered as a New York Story.
In some ways the narrative is worthy of an Orgasm Denial Story Board, as it all stems from the aftermath of the exploits of two New York guys, Chris Lee and Anthony Weiner, who couldn’t keep their shirts on, and whose efforts to expand the base of their enthusiasts ended up in degradation, humiliation and chastity (both politically and literally), which though often the protagonist’s goal in this sort of story, does not appear to have been such in either of these instances.
Anyway, like other politically monogamous states, during general elections for President, New York is like a loyal but neglected spouse, taken for granted, and not partaking in the thrills of courtship. Lavish sums of money are not spent in any effort to get our favorable attention. As in any marriage, we get screwed more frequently than those whose attention is being sought, and we enjoy it all far less.
And though we probably get lied to with the same level of frequency, it is done with far less creativity and ardor.
Admittedly, unlike most states which do not swing both ways, we are not ignored totally. Like California, we function as a sort of political ATM, meaning that while traveling on the campaign superhighway, candidates will occasionally take an exit to our service area in order to enjoy a pit-stop and refuel.
Especially among Republicans, it is hard for candidates to think about New York and resist the temptation to take a dump.
But thanks to the chain of events owing to Lee and Weiner, this year, New York defines the Presidential campaign narratives of both political parties.
On Election Day 2010, Congressman Lee (R-NY) won re-election with 76% in a district which last elected a Democrat in 1968. On February 9, 2011, Gawker published an expose about Lee (who is married) soliciting sexual partners on Craigslist. He resigned the same day, just in time to avoid stories about his possible transgender curiosity.
On May 24, 2011, the district elected Democrat Kathleen Hochul to Congress, in a race which gave Democrats a shiny new narrative.
The Ryan Overreach and the Hochul Body-slam in response was to become the new Democratic narrative.
It lasted as such for exactly three days.
On May 27, 2011, exposure of something much tinier and less significant than this truth
On Election Day 2010, Congressman Weiner (D-NY) won re-election with 60% in a district which last elected a Republican in 1920. On May 27, 2011,
On September 13, the district elected Republican Bob Turner to Congress, in a race which gave Republicans a shiny new narrative of their own.
While the winning Democratic narrative in the Hochul race was to talk about the GOP’s actual plans for governance, the Republican narrative in the Turner race was to complain about Obama and the economy and try to obfuscate what was actually contained in their own plans.
Though he’d previously run as
And so it is in the Presidential election.
A pro-Obama Super-PAC conducting a focus group found that undecided voters given an accurate description of the Ryan plan opposed its provisions but refused to believe that Romney would ever support such a thing.
Cutting Medicare in order to lower taxes for the rich is a central provision of Ryan, but voters found the Plan so wretchedly deplorable they found the allegations that Romney endorsed it to be ludicrous.
“… respondents simply refused to believe any politician would do such a thing.”
But it’s worse than that.
Not only has the mainstream media obscured the truth about the Romney agenda, they’ve even obscured the truth about its primary author, presenting him as a truth-telling deficit hawk, working for bi-partisan compromise, rather than what he is, a far right wing Ayn- Randian ideologue working to abolish the social safety net and transfer wealth from the poor and the middle class to the rich, intending to slash virtually everything from the budget but defense, support for current retirees, and a few boondoggles for his friends, with no concern about deficits whatsoever except as a means to his real ends.
Mitt Romney is Bob Turner—he intends to make this campaign about the present state of the economy, the deficit (which is, at best, tangentially related to the former) and in selected places, issues like Israel. Romney does not want to talk about the radical agenda he actually wants to implement—an agenda which has precious little to do with the present state of the economy and everything to do with the future of the American Social Contract, which, despite his disdain for Europe, he wants to transform into thin slices of Swiss Cheese.
Barack Obama is Kathleen Hochul—he’s not too happy with the economy or the limited manner in which the Ryan/Turner Party has permitted him to address it. S/He must deal with an alienated base which assumes the presidency has magical powers he’s failed to use, and independent voters who assume the same (while desiring somewhat different policies than the base). S/He wants to assay blame where it is actually due, but s/he really wants to change the discussion to a comparison between what s/he is proposing and what is actually being proposed by the oppositions.
Obama/Hochul is no longer about “change we can believe in;”
Obama/Hochul is all about “change we can avoid.”
Gatemouth endorses Kathleen Hochul for President.
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