A few comments do seem in order, but first, you need to do one at least one more correction: You've transposed the Green and Towns numbers in the 57th AD. I caught this because it was quite apparent from the AD totals, and shouldn't have changed with the more detailed results. However, since you've obviously had a few data entry problems, I might re-check my other numbers as well.  

10th CD: Your new Brownstone numbers seem to confirm my theory that Barron won the 57th AD based upon his strength among white voters. The results within Barron's Councilmanic are further proof of my conclusion that if Barron beat Towns among black voters, it was almost entirely because of his strength in his home base. BTW, I think you should run numbers on how the two of them did in black EDs (and then minus out the black Brownstone EDs and see if that changes anything).

11th: Your conclusion that the impact of Atlantic Yards worked in Owens' favor is a bit less true now that you've corrected the numbers, but still true enough. Your Ortho numbers seem a little low. Is this Midwood and Crown Heights alone, or does it include the more mixed areas of Flatbush and Kensington? Have you re-checked the math here?

Lower East Side: Interesting to note that Grand Street vote for the Silver-backed candidates is almost exactly the same in both races. The 1300 and change is a drop from past years (as is the 1600 odd Hasidim in Williamsburg), but is still a formidable block.

I previously noted that Cohen beat Chan by 234 votes in Silver's AD. Cohen's margin in "Grand Street plus Chinatown" was 247, meaning that among the approximately 2000 voters unaccounted for in the 64th AD, Chan won by 13 votes (her victory came elsewhere). The only thing that puzzles me is that there were actually 2000 votes outside of Grand Street in the 2nd Municipal Court District in EDs where Asian surnamed voters accounted for less than 20% of the voters. Who are these people? Outside of the Village View and Masryk areas, I didn't think they existed (since BPC, Souhtbridge and Wall Street are not in the 2nd MCD).

Your Grand Street numbers mean Connor won the non-Grand Street areas of the 64th by 3395 to 2420 (58-42). As such, both my alternative theories are confirmed (a) Silver's support is more powerful when one is not running against someone with a Chinese surname, and (b) Connor had strength in the 64th independent of the votes controlled by Silver.   

Here's an interesting note on those numbers. 

Yassky Council District looks to have had a bit over 5,300 voters who voted, while Clarke's Council district had over 10,000 voters voting.  Is twice as much of Clarke's district in the 11th as Yassky's, or was the voter turnout simply higher there?  I'm thinking this may suggest Clarke's get out the vote effort in her own district was better than Yassky's and maybe this is what turned the race...

Can you breakdown Kavanagh vs. Friedman in the 74th? Dear vs. Parke? More races!

I have corrected the Towns- Green numbers for 57 AD. And I have re-ordered the listing in the Clarke Council District so that is in the correct order. Sorry for the typos.

I do not know the different neighborhoods of Brooklyn as well as Gatemouth does. Most of them are just numbers on a page to me. The list of Orthodox EDs that Prime New York maintains is a result of information given to us over the years by "Jewish Desks" of various campaigns, so I don't know if mixed communities that Gatemouth asks about are included. My guess is that they are not.

In the Chan-Cohen and Connor-Diamondstone race, the EDs I listed as Grand Street are the EDs of the Truman Democratic Club, Silver & Cohen's home club.

The parts of 64 AD left after these EDs and the 20%+ Asian EDs are the Housing Authority projects and other areas that are south of the 74th AD.

Regarding turnout differences between Clarke & Yassky's Council District -

In Clarke's there are 52,757 Democrats, so the turnout was 19%.

In Yasskey's, there 20,526 so the turnout was 26%.

"WHEN YOU TAKE THE ORTHODOX VOTE ALONE, YOU WILL SEE THAT CHARLES BARRON WON THE BLACK VOTE. THE PLURALITY TOWNS HAD HERE WAS OVER 3000. I REST MY CASE." Rock

Let's see,

Towns' plurality in the Otho EDS: 3297

Towns' Districtwide plurality: 4124

Barron's plurality in Brownstone areas: 263

Likelihood that Barron's plurality in the Brownstone areas (plus more) came from white people: 95%

Towns plurality subtracting Ortho and Brownstone EDs: 1089

Number of other white votes remaining in the district: probably less than 1000.

Verdict: Case dismissed for insufficient evidence.    

I would have sworn that those NYCHA projects on the East River near Chinatown were over 20% Asian; guess they aren't citizens yet.

As to the Orthos in the 11th, you credit Yassky with 1043 Ortho votes. Well, the CD's portion of the 45th and 48th are virtually entirely Orthodox, and between them Yassky 1242 votes. And Yassky got another 1242 in the 43rd AD, most of which must have come from Hasidim; and that doesn't even touch the 44th, where over half the votes came from a Senate District where, within the 44th, Noach Dear got a majority (and there were other EDs from an all Ortho area of Carl Kruger's SD). We know your figures included some of Crown Heights, because you credit Andrews with 625 Ortho votes, and he only got 182 votes between the 45th and 48th. I have to believe your numbers here are seriously in error, and do not include all the predominately Ortho EDs, let alone the mixed ones.      

As I said earlier, the list of EDs I include as Orthodox was compiled based on lists given to me over the years by campaign operatives expert in this field. Populations change over the years and I would not dispute Gatemouth's point that I probably missed some of the EDs. I will be happy to add or subtract EDs from my Orthodox file (as I've done in the past) when I get new information. In fact, as a result of this  back & forth, such an expert on the Orthodox community has contacted me and I expect to improve the list.

As regards, my advice to Owens and Yassky regarding challenging Clarke in two years. My business interests preculude from ever telling a potential customer not to run for office. However the past succes rate of challenges to non-indicted incumbent Democratic Congressmembers in NYC should not encourage anybody.  

I teach a voting rights seminar and am in desparate need of an analysis of the 11 CD race and how it broke down on racial lines.  If someone has already done this analysis, I'd be most grateful if you could post it or send it to me directly.  There are glimpses of these data in the some of the earlier blog entries but nothing that comprehesively deals with ED by ED or AD by AD returns along with the racial breakdowns of those districts.  If this hasn't already been done, any leads on where to find published ED or AD election returns and demographics would be appreciated as well.  Feel free to contact me offline at janaisn@yahoo.com.  Thanks!