Who Votes - David Paterson Senate District

Continuing an irregular series on who the likely voters are in the upcoming "hot" elections, I turn today to the 30th State Senate District in Manhattan being vacated by David Paterson.  These percentages are based on data in the Prime New York voter file and these reports come with the usual caveats - ethnic data is based on last names so are not 100% accurate, past voting behavior is not always predicative, etc.

Likely Primary Voters Estimated Percentages

Blacks    55%

Hispanics 20%

Jewish   15%

Seniors    28%

Women    66%

Councilman Jackson District    22%

Councilwoman Brewer District    13%

Councilwoman Mark-Viverto District    21%

Councilwoman Dickens District    44%

Assemblywoman Rosenthal District    3%

Assemblyman Powell District    13%

Assemblyman O’Donnell District    36%

Assemblyman Wright District    33%

Assemblyman Farrell District    15%