I think you have more of a chance against Eugene than anyone does at uprooting the incumbent chairman.  Towns will be fine.

Also, it might make more sense to wait to run against Towns until after redistricting and various other deals can be struck.

Towns is toast.

Jeffries may be that candidate.

During the past 2 elections, at least 1/3 of the vote went to candidates who were less than serious.

In 2008, Powell, who has never held elected office, got one third of the vote, after running a haphazard campaign.

In 2006, Towns, then a 26-year veteran, retained his seat with 19,468 votes, 47% of the total. Barron received 15,345; Green, 6,237.

Barron was hard pressed to demonstrate cross cultural support when he announced he was running for Borough President of ethnicly diverse Brooklyn. Has Barron made up his mind what seat he is running for? As for the tarnished Green, his political career was over then.

Jeffries should step forward. And Towns should bow out gracefully, if only he knew how.

What are the chances this district vanishes in redistricting?  I realize that the state legislature will be reluctant to eliminate an African-American majority district, but Brooklyn's African-American population has been in decline compared to other groups in the city for some time.  Each redistricting, more and more non African-American neighborhoods have to be put into the various versions of the 10th and 11th districts.

Los Angeles returns three African-American Congresspeople despite the fact that it would be difficult to draw even one African-American majority district, but the three districts contain large numbers of Latino voters who don't vote because they are not US citizens.  To pull the same trick in Brooklyn would mean breaking up the 12th District, which the state legislature is probably also loathe to do. 

Ed Towns is the Chair of the powerful oversight committee and he will do the dirty work for Obama in exposing the Insurance industry . Watch how much money he is raising and don't be surprised if Obama walks with him before a Primary. 

 Jeffries will not give up his seat for a possibility.  

Rock,

As you may recall, I had taken issue with you some time back (prior to the 2008 Towns primary race) because you hadn't disclosed your relationships with Towns when you had commented on his then challenger.  You later posted that you were, in fact, working for Towns.  It was a friendly and cordial commentary (at least on my end, and then on your end once you realized I wasn't attacking you personally or part of your haters but just a civilian interested in reading political stuff).  For a variety of reasons (nothing personal to you), I haven't read your postings in a while and I thought of you when I read this post on Politico (www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0709/Trippis_mea_culpa.html?showall), which essentially states the same points in a clearer and more direct way that I was trying to make.  I've not read all your posts since our discussions, but I note that you've disclosed fully in this post and just wanted to pass along my appreciation for your having done so.

Best of luck in your race (I'm outside your district).

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Watch how much money he is raising. Its like he is not giving up his seat. Its like who have the money can only give a better life and also participate in the politics and other stuff.

Regards

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