Barack Obama is Not the Choice of DemocratsMany of my friends who are supporting Barack Obama constantly talk about the “will of the people” and they say that’s where the super / unpledged delegates should vote, that they should follow the popular vote and give their votes to Obama. To that I say absolutely not. First of all almost 28 million people have voted in one of the 41 primaries or caucuses held thus far and the difference in the popular vote between Obama and Clinton is less than one tenth of one percent (less than 35,000 out of 28,000,000 cast). So the people are clearly split between the two. Second, unless I am mistaken this is a race to be the “Democratic” nominee for the Presidency of the United States. And in almost every contest where the primaries were open to just Democrats - Barack Obama has lost every one – New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, California, Florida, etc.(and each by over 5 points). The only places where he wins are those states where Independents and Republicans carry him to victory. I do not doubt that we will need more than just Democrats to win in November but Independents and Republicans should not pick the Democratic Nominee - nor do I as A Democrat think I should choose the Republican nominee. Those are not my parties and I should not make that choice for them and neither should Republicans and Independents make that choice for me or you my fellow Democrats. That is an insult to real Democrats who have stayed with this party year after year, and thru every up and down. Let the “will of the Democrats” prevail and the unpledged Democrats will and should choose Hillary Clinton by a mile because she leads amongst Democratic voters by a very large margin. And lets be clear about two more things- one, Republicans are voting for Obama during the primaries with ulterior motives, they want to stop Hillary Clinton it is not because they are inspired. And two if the Republicans want Obama so bad perhaps it is because they believe he will be the candidate that they can beat in November. I cannot remember the last time something the Republicans wanted for the Democrats was actually good for the Democrats. And if we let them do it we will get defeated in November. Go to Google and type in “republicans voting for Obama” and read some of the thousands of stories and websites where Republicans clearly lay out their case to vote for Obama in the primary to defeat Hillary and then say they will “go home” to McCain in November. I am not making this stuff up go and see it for yourself. Who’s really picking our Democratic nominee? If it’s the Democratic youth or African American voters, I’m okay with that. That’s fair. If it’s Republicans or Independents, I’m not – I made a choice to be a Democrat and so did many of you and it meant something to me as I hope it did to you.
Harack Obama has over 500,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton. Get your numbers straight son.
To the writer of this column: your position defies logic. Didn't all the candidates agree to the rules? Included in those rules was the fact that the selection process isn't limited to ONLY democrats (or republicans for that matter). Now that Obama has won the most PLEDGED delegates you want to change the rules to democrats ONLY. WOW! Just like the candidate you are supporting (HRC), you want to change the rules to enhance your position. It is not about large states or red or blue states it is about DELEGATES.
The candidates didn't agree to the rules. The rules were drafted by the party, and subject to the laws of the states. What an imbecile. Any Dem candidate can win NY, CA, MA, NJ, if John Kerry won there so can Obama. But this is a delegate contest. So whoever has the most delegates should win. Remember, Michael Dukakis won all the 'big' states but he lost big time.
maybe I'm wrong but it seems like the Obama supporters have a real dislike of Hillary. I support Hillary and want her to win but don't despise Obama. I guess thats what happens when you get a lot of younger people involved in politics for the first time. SON OF HARLEM needs to read the recent columns of Room Eight's irascible blogger Rock Hackshaw. It's only the media hype that keeps this campaign going. True political experts have known the numbers were near impossible for Hillary Clinton after Tuesday 5th February. It kept going south all through February when he kept racking up win after win. If Florida and Michigan are added to Hillary Clinton's score and pledged delegate count, she still couldn't get to the convention with more pledged delgates than Obama. Neither would she get a higher vote total. She would have to get about 550 out of nearly 800 superdelegates to have a CHANCE of getting the nod. Obama will get to the convention with more than 200 pledged delegates ahead of Clinton. A rerun in Florida and Michigan only benefits OBAMA. Remember he had zero in Michigan, once he gets 15% of the votes he starts picking up delegates. BTW doesn't Michigan have a large African American population like Florida?
No, the candidates DID actually sign off on the rules http://daily.stanford.edu/article/2008/2/25/editorialFollowDncRulesOnSeatingDelegates (one of MANY articles) You call someone an imbecile, when the party chairman Howard Dean himself, went on national television all day today, to make it clear that ALL the campaigns, and All the state democratic parties, signed off on and agreed to the rules? The DNC laid down these rules about a year and a half ago? Where have you been? In a cave/lol?
The math you're using is not only wrong because of the additions of Florida and Michigan, but also because most of the caucuses don't record the number of votes. That's not how caucuses work. Regardless, the delegates, who are allotted however the states prescribe, choose the nominee. Part of being a Democrat is believing in fairness and rule of law. And if you are willing to throw that all out the window because you don't like how the rules play out, you may need to question how REAL of a Democrat you are. You can actively take steps to change the rules, but trying to subvert them is antithetical to being a Democrat. And your claim that the "will of the people" is somehow behind Clinton because Republicans and Independents are sometimes allowed to vote in the Democratic Primaries, you may want to check the national polls of DEMOCRATS...lately Obama has been ahead (www.realclearpolitics.com) Your assertion that Republicans are voting for Obama because they are afraid of Clinton, despite what some websites may say, a Clinton candidacy is probably more advantageous to the Republican cause. McCain does not motivate those on the far right. They may stay home on Election Day. But if Hillary Clinton is the nominee, many of these folks start to foam at the mouth. Not that their visceral reaction is at all warranted, it isn't. But Clinton-hysteria will be back in full swing if she is the nominee. At this point her candidacy would most likely: a) depress the unprecedented enthusiasm we’ve seen this year but killing hope; b) drive most all moderates, Independents, and some centrist Democrats over to McCain and; c) motivate the wing-nuts to go to the polls in droves when they may otherwise stay home. And to address the comment that hate for Clinton is the result of young (and therefore naive) voters getting involved and supporting Obama. I happen to be 24 years old. And I am supporting Obama. While I do not hate Clinton in any way, I do have a number of legitimate concerns as a Democrat and a Progressive with her and her candidacy. She has over-paid consultants up to the eyebrows; she voted the wrong way on the bankruptcy bill; she receives more money than any other Senator or Member of Congress from defense contractors, pharmaceutical & health insurance companies; she voted for the war in Iraq; she essentially endorses Bush's diplomatic policies by forcing concessions before negotiations; and from a purely pragmatic stance a Clinton-McCain contest scares the crap out of me. I am against her not because I am young and immature, but because I don't think she's right for the job, especially with the situation in Washington as it is. She can't make the changes that need to be made to get Washington to function, because she is part of the problem. She is so ingrained into the system, that she doesn’t believe that she should change it.
The Hillary camp keeps moving the goal line. She's not really interested in what is best for the country. Just herself. She feels she's next in line and will do whatever needs to be done to secure her nomination. I don't think it's going to work this time. If she gets the nomination going through the back door, many voters, both black & white will either boycott the General Election or maybe even switch to McCain as a protest vote for being dissed by the DNC. It will secure a Republican adminstration for the next 8 years at least.
...McCain suffers some serious malady, which is possible since he refuses to let the American public see his medical history. The Clinton name (if not Hillary herself) has too much negative baggage attached to it, and that will only increase if it appears that Clinton wins the Democratic nomination by manipluation and political dealmaking. Enough with the Bush-Clinton dynasties. When is Obama going to put Clinton on the defensive? A simple Powerpoint presentation enumerating the various aspects of the Clinton legacy should be enough. Whitewater, the Rose Law Firm, a disastrous health care plan, Vince Foster, Paula Jones/Monica Lewinsky, campaign finance irregularities, Bill's perjury, Kenneth Starr, Travelgate, pimping the Lincoln Bedroom, questionable pardons, etc., etc. Is this the "experience" people want in the White House? I guess after two terms of a corrupt Bush administration, anything is an improvement... At this time, based on the votes cast, Obama is the choice of those who voted in the Democratic Primaries. The race is still close enough that this could change after all the states vote. The developing consenus that there should be re-run Primaries in Florida & Michigan should be supported by all sides IF they really want the candidate with the most support chosen. BTW, many states (like Missouri, Wisconsin, Texas & others do not have Party registration at all, so non-Democrats ALWAYS vote in those state Primaries.
Both campaigns should let Florida and Michigan participate in this historic election. Voter disenfranchsiement is a serious matter that should only occur in the most egregious circumstances, and if both States are ready to pay for a "do-over" then neither Clinton nor Obama should stand in their way.
...that these states are free to submit to the DNC a new delegate selection plan at any time. So how would submitting one be violating the rules?
The problem with counting the current Michigan and Florida results is that no one campaigned there (actually Obama did run a commerical in Florida for a short time). If the candidatez were allowed to campaign how would that be prjudicial to anyone? If anything, it would seem to advantage the candidate with more money Obama. This is not a second chance shot for anyone (well, maybe Obama); it's a first chance shot for everyone. If you are so set on blind enforcement of the rules, the remember, the rules explicitly say the super-delegates get to vote for whoever they want. Seems to me that Democracy is the better solution. And clearly the campaigns will agree to whatever the states ask for. What choice do they have? If they oppose it, and then a contest is held, they'll be screwed in the contest. If they oppose it, and the contest is not held, they'll be screwed in November.
Rock and I disagree about our choice for the nominee, but are in complete agreement about Michigan and Florida's delegates not being seated based on their pre-Super-duper-Tuesday primaries. I think it's a wrong headed strategy for Hillary to be claiming that these primaries should count. As to "redos," I think they should. Howard Dean has said the DNC will not pay for them to rerun them and think it's a correct decision to make. These states violated the DNC's plan and their citizens have to live with that, unless they come up with the money to redo them themeselves. The DNC should be spending money on getting a Democrat in the White House, increasing our majorities in both houses of Congress, as well as supporting local races. It would be a huge giveaway to the GOP for the DNC to spend the millions it would take to pay for FL and MI to fix their arogant mistakes. (I think they thought it would all be over with Hillary winning that all would be forgiven and there'd be little issue with their delegates being seated, which is what would have happened if Hillary had clinched the nomination early). Why is including Super Delegates in the decision making any more or less democratic than including the Caucus Delegates? The Caucus Delegates are chosen by regular folks who came out on a single night to argue with each other and the Super Delegates are either office holders, party elders or individuals who petitioned and were elected to their positions. Why are they of less democratic character than someone in Iowa who had a four wheel drive to get through the snow to the high school gym? I like Obama and will have no trouble voting for him. But, holding the party to a naive, unsupportable standard in democratic bonafides will just help the Republicans. Partys exist to win elections. Party democracy is unimportant if it doesn't help win elections. There are lots of good reasons for a do-over in Michigan and Florida not the least of which it will be a good motivator of democratic voters before November. However, both states wanted to leap ahead of everyone else presuming the election would be decided by now. What a surprise, it wasn't. Now they will get a second bite of the apple. Looks like a good spring for the auto industry and social security. Voters in every state follow the rules of voting organized by both or all the parties involved. So if you're going to point fingers and place blame, place it not on the voters but where it belongs - on the party leadership and representatives at the state and national level.
Of course it's not the people who should be blamed. What people fail to comprehend is that Primaries are about party, not really Democracy, and each state, etc. has it's own way to pick 'em, hence we have more than 50 ways of picking delegates (50 states, DC, PR, VI, Guam, Micronesia?, American Samoa? are there others?). SOH's point regarding "Democrats" choice though, doesn't really resonate. States have the choice of who to allow to vote in their primaries. You can't change the rules mid-stream. Here's a little known fact: Howard Dean won the NH Primary in 2004 among Democrats who were Democrats the day of the Primary. Independents and Republicans with nothing to do becuause no one ran against Dubya changed their registration to Democrat the day of to vote voted for Kerry in droves. But that's the system. We ended up with John Kerry because of Republicans. I wish I could say it was a conspiracy, but probably a lot of them hated Dubya by then. I think Dean would be president now because he had legions of supporters (more volunteers than every other Dem COMBINED), plus he had the anti-Bush Vote (which is pretty much all Kerry had). But, NH has an open primary, oh well, so we got 4 more years of Bush. It is important to remember that the Democratic Party has lost many potential members due to the uninspiring nature of its politics and, unfortunately, much of its leadership. Right here in New York City, an overwhelmingly Democratic town, thousands of registered voters in each Congressional District are either members of smaller, left-leaning political parties or, more importantly, not enrolled in ANY party. Rather than insist on being the rulers of our sandbox simply because we have been in it longer, we must be inclusive in our appeal to potential Democratic Party supporters -- particularly on the left of the ideological spectrum (I really don't care about the anti-choice and homophobic folks). Accordingly, there must be candidates and officeholders who personify that appeal. Senator Barack Obama has stepped up to fill in an important void within our Party. We should be thrilled. As an Alternate Delegate for Obama, I believe he will eventually win the Democratic nomination. If he does, some have said he should offer the VP position to Senator Clinton. There are important pros and serious cons regarding such a move (should she accept.) Some have said that he must, at a minimum, offer the position to a woman other than Clinton. This has some cons but more pros in my book. Looking the other way, however, the constraints are greater. If Clinton manages to win the nomination, it will be the result of much ugliness and negativity and, frankly, she MUST offer it to Obama in order to unify the Party. Whether or not he chooses to accept will be a whole other discussion. Nothin' like makin' history! CHRIS: (RESPECTFULLY SUBMITTED)
I think the mistake that progressive political types like yourself always make (especially at the national level), is reflected in your comment, to wit:"I really don't care about the anti-choice and homophobic folks". I know you mean conservatives, and that they are the "red-meat" to those on the left, but the fact is they are in the political arena too and dedicated to their issues, just like you are. I believe that Obama has essentially told us that we have to engage everyone and not take haughty philosophical positions that are so inflexible that we can't find common ground. Politics is essentially the art of compromise. Most voters in this country are moderates like I am (and I know you won't want to believe this), and as such they are all over the political spectrum issue to issue. The challenge is always to put the coalitions together that give the needed victory in hopes of eventually effectuating needed change. Demonizing folks because of their beliefs and values is not the way to go. Blacks, Gays, Jews, Hispanics, and other insular groups in this country, have now resorted to playing the name-calling (victimization) card, whenever they refuse to engage people as humans. That's why it is so easy to call someone racist, or homophobic, or anti-semetic, or anti-Hispanic, or whatever, in a tactical attempt at freezing them up or avoiding the necessary dialogue. In the end it keeps people further and further apart.
Sadly I think there's no way that Obama agrees to the VP slot. Read Audacity of Hope. His ego is too big. I think it would be awesome if he did. We'd have 16 years of him.
Good analysis as always Chris... I agree that if Hillary is the nominee she will be obligated to offer the VP slot to Barack. I don't know if he should even bother. She's 60 years old, been around on the National Scene a long time and there's no way she'll take the second slot. If she's not the nominee, she will, hopefully do everything in her power to help Barack win, and then become the Ted Kennedy of New York, or, rather, a latter day Daniel Patrick Moynihan (am I the only one who misses Moynihan?). In addition, he if nominated will need someone interesting, but willing to be in the background. Hillary does not have the temperment to be the one in the background, he needs someone who does.
Maybe Rock, but conceivably she could arrive with the popular vote with a dominant performance in the core Democratic States. That could turn the superdelegates who were wisely put in place to decide very close contests with the sole goal of actually winning the election. Maybe Obama will have enough of a lead that won't work. In the end though Clinton needs Obamas voters to defeat McCain and vice versa. The superdelegates have a much higher level of democratic legitimacy than do the caucus delegates. The caucuses discriminate against those who have to go to work tomorrow and don't have time to waste four or five hours being yelled at by some college kid. HILLARY CLINTON CANNOT GET TO THE CONVENTION WITH MORE PLEDGED DELEGATES, MORE VOTES TOTALLED, MORE PRIMARIES WON, NOR MORE CAUCUSES WON THAN OBAMA, UNLESS SHE WINS ALL THE OTHER CONTESTS BY TAKING ROUGHLY FOUR OUT OF EVERY SEVEN PLEDGED DELEGATES LEFT. SHE LOST TEXAS BY ABOUT FOUR DELEGATES (UNOFFICIAL BUT HIGHLY RELIABLE). HE PICKED UP A NET GAIN OF 8 DELEGATES IN CALIFORNIA TODAY IN THE RECOUNT. WHEN YOU AUDIT THE CONTESTS HELD SO FAR HER DEFICIT IS EVEN WIDER THAN MAINSTREAM MEDIA IS REPORTING. THIS IS A WRAP AND HAS BEEN GOING DOWNHILL SINCE SUPER TUESDAY. DESPITE HER BIG NIGHT ON TUESDAY SHE GAINED NO MORE THAN 12 DELEGATES NET. BY NEXT TUESDAY (MISSISSIPPI) SHE WOULD HAVE DROPPED THOSE BACK TO HIM, PLUS LOST SOME MORE AFTER WYOMING (IF TRENDS HOLD UP). WHY IS THIS SO HARD FOR YOU GUYS TO UNDERSTAND: IT'S ALL MEDIA-HYPE. THIS RACE HAS BEEN OVER SINCE FEB.5th. THINK PEOPLE, THINK.
Rock: Don't you agree that Mr. Obama has to be alot more agressive from now on in order to gain back his momemtum? Back in Jan. many people said their was a wave happenning, but I said a tsumani. He must keep the pressure on Clinton to reveal her tax reports, there must be something that they (Hill & Bill) are hiding. Take the fight to her, let her be on the defensive.
PEEPS: IT IS OVER. BARACK OBAMA IS THE DEMOCRAT'S NOMINEE. READ MY COLUMN LATER TODAY.
Obama should agree to the VP slot. Someone said it earlier. We'd have 16 years of him. BTW - he won in red states where Independents and Republicans voted. Get real. He couldn't capture the Latino vote, the women's vote, nor the workers. That's why he lost in the Dem primaries. Caucuses are a joke, and they are our joke, but a joke nonetheless. There's also no way in hell that Florida and Michigan won't be put in play some way or another.
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Your view uses at the very least Hillary Spin and at worst fuzzy math when you attempt to refute the "will of the people" position by not saying you conviently added in the votes of Florida and Michigan which to date has been disqualified. Remove those totals and the disparity between votes for Obama and Clinton becomes much greater.
Additionally, having worked on local races where the difference between winner and loser were less than 5 votes, I'd argue that that is how democracy works. An election decided by a single voter is still the will of the people. (An election decided by a single Supreme Court Justice is another matter completely.)
Then your argument that Clinton wins where only Democrats can vote...well NJ allowed independents to vote in the primary so so much for that argument. Besides Democrats in each state decided what THIER rules would be. Who are you or I to somehow rule that thier standards are less righteous than ours.
Finally your plea that readers investigate the matters of Republicans supporting Obama for nefarious reasons. I'd suggest they google Republicans supporting Hillary and they will find the likes of Ann Coulter and Rush Limbaugh in those many links.
Being a Democrat means being fair minded. I suggest that it may be time for you to turn in your membership card.