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Prime News News

Every spring for the last 15 years, my company, Prime New York, has mailed to @1,000 politicos, our newsletter - Prime News. It lists the previous year’s election results for public & party office plus information about enhancements to our voter file. This year’s edition should be hitting the mail this week.

But if you can’t wait or if you don’t normally get it, it’s now available on-line at our brand new Prime New York website.

You can get this year’s Prime News here and you can access the website here.



Come Out...Come Out...Wherever You Are!

Dear Mr. Camara and Mr. Hamilton,

Come Out…Come Out…Wherever You Are!

During my pursuit for change in Central Brooklyn, I experienced a number of twists and turns, but the one constant I have come to realize is that there are still GOOD PEOPLE out there.  Regardless of conditions…good people persevere, regardless of presentation…good people listen and regardless of strife…good people still create opportunities.  Recently, I started the door-to-door portion of my campaign and during this process; I have been embraced with open arms, so I will add another facet:



Add one congressional district; subtract one assembly district: Is Nick Perry finally pulling out?

Rock
Rock Hermon Hackshaw

As far as I know Noah “Nick” Perry was never a math teacher-and I have known him for about 20 years. He is educated, resilient, crafty, and tenacious. Over the years he has also demonstrated some political ambition, and he has never been afraid to articulate it. Back in 1998, when I was leading an insurgent charge in Brooklyn, he and I almost came to blows at the Board of Elections on Adams Street. He was attempting to knock one of our guys off the ballot, and while overhearing his conversation, I found him to be abusive and threatening (verbally), thus we got into each other’s face- so to speak. Now this was uncharacteristic of Nick, since he is usually mild-mannered and does possess the desired decorum of an elected official, however he is Jamaican–born, and there is a tendency amongst most Jamaican men not to back-down when confronted, for fear of being labeled a “pussy”. Maybe that fear has kept Nick in the race for the 11th Congressional District all this time. Very few people think that he has a chance of winning, and even a third grade student knows, that when you run for congress from an assembly seat that you have held for 12 years, you must subtract your old seat. It’s simple arithmetic.



Zoning In or Out?

NYTimesBlogs
 
Bienvenidos a la blogosphere!

Is the Times open for biz for real this time?

To the most mystified of readers, here's what Healy and the gang at The New York Times have in store for you every minute of every day:



New York State’s Local Government Employment Boom

Local government employment is going through the roof as politicians spend recklessly to reward their friends and supporters. The cost is soaring beyond the ability of New York City taxpayers to pay. What am I describing?

  • New York City in the Dinkins administration?
  • New York City in the Giuliani administration?
  • New York City in the Bloomberg administration?

Wrong. It is in the rest of New York State during all those years that local employment has soared. This is quickly ascertained using the latest re-benchmarked Current Employment Survey (CES) data from the New York State Department of Labor. And yes, New York City taxpayers (along with those elsewhere in the state) are having a hard time paying for it.



Out of the Rotation

(This article has now been corrected twice to reflect the ever changing reality)

Those who’ve noticed my recent hiatus probably need to get a life. But, if you care, it’s at least partially attributable to recent efforts, on at least three different sites in the last month, to attribute an identity to my posts. These are probably all the effort of one particular blogger (the person most likely responsible for jefffeldmanmustgo and perhaps other sites as well) whose anonymity I will respect by referring to him only as “fat ugly smelly toothless bastard”.



Who Will Win

In a new Quinnipiac poll Spitzer is up and Suozzi is down, it had been 69-14 and is now 73-12.  Unfortunately for Suozzi, his net favorable went from 10-points down to a net of only 5-points, which suggests he does not have much room for growth. 

Name recognition and past runs for office are making the Attorney General race a two person contest.  Cuomo is ahead statewide and he has been doing better upstate.  Green’s net favorable numbers are slightly better than the leader, which argues for growth.  This race could come down to turnout downstate and in the Jewish community, which could be high, both boosted by the favorite son candidacy of Spitzer who is destined to be the first Jewish governor of New York since Herbert Lehman who served four terms since 1932.



Why Sylvia Friedman Should Lose!

Two Words: Shelly Silver!

Sources say that at last night's Tilden Democratic Club endorsement meeting, (s)elected East Side Assemblywoman Sylvia Friedman was giddy with anticipation for her June 6th fundraiser in Albany, which will be hosted by ... Assembly Speaker Shelly Silver.

Apparently, Friedman - whose version of reform probably escapes Victor Hugo - told a little tale of how she "wasn't sure how she was going to get along with Shelly Silver once she went up to Albany," but then assured the crowd that she has found him to be an incredibly affable, "charming" man.  Phewwwww!



Election Turnout & Ethnic Politics

Rock Hackshaw has asked me a few times on this blog my opinion about election turnout in New York and the US. There are as many theories about this as there are theorists but one theory that I believe has a lot going for it regards ethnic politics.

Put simply, ethnic or racially polarized election contests increase turnouts!

There has been no Presidential election since then that has had a higher percentage turnout than the 1960 Kennedy-Nixon election. The reason put forward by many is that this first election where a Catholic had a serious chance of being elected President increased the turnout of both Catholics and anti-Catholics.



Elliot Spitzer Needs To Stop The Bullshit.

Rock
Rock Hermon Hackshaw

So another poll came out today from the Quinnipiac people telling us what we already know: that Elliot Spitzer is leading in the gubernatorial race. In the immortal words of one former Nets basketball-player, “whoop-dee-damn-doo”. To me this is where New York’s politics appear trite. Of course, it’s an artifact of the “silly season”.



No Republican Wins Without

The mantra used to be, “No Republican has won statewide office in New York State without Conservative Party backing since the late Senator Jacob Javits in 1974.” 

In today’s New York Times there is this line, “…the state Conservative Party, without whose backing no Republican has been elected governor since 1974.”

Checking the record just half way back and the spin becomes obvious.  Looking at statewide offices from 1984 to the present the Republican candidate who also ran on the Conservative line lost 18 races and won only nine, including Reagan for President in 1984.  Also, one Republican ran with out the Conservative line and lost. 



Margarita Lopez-Torres and the Multi-colored Coattails: Liars, Liars, Pants and Panties on Fire.

Rock
Rock Hermon Hackshaw

 
Sometime in early 2001, I requested a meeting with Clarence Norman in his capacity as County Leader of the Democrats in Brooklyn. I wanted to discuss a few issues with him, and he willingly obliged me. Let me say first off, that despite the many run-ins I have had with Clarence, he has always treated me with dignity and respect. Whenever he met me, he was very cordial, very civil. Surprisingly so, since I managed his opponent in 1996 (Joan Gill), and I actively supported many other candidates against him over the years (Gumbs, Davis, Roper and Roberts/two). Also, I happened to have challenged many of the electeds (much to his chagrin), by working as advisor/consultant/technician and in other capacities, with insurgents challenging the status-quo, since 1984. Even before he became county-leader.



World Trade Center - What Went Wrong and Who's to Blame?

The last time I wrote about the World Trade Center was on 9/11; I’ve since moved downtown near Ground Zero.  I still linger over photographs of the construction of the World Trade Center or the completed complex.  It is hard to believe the towers are gone.  Looking at photographs and footage of the terrorist attack is difficult and always involves an emotional response, much like for other New Yorkers.

It is shocking to pass Ground Zero and see how little has been done over the last five years.  The day of the attack was full of grief and heroism.  The cleanup of the site was swift—police, fire and other government workers together with the city’s construction workers and developers pulled out all the stops to get things back to normal—though we now know that environmental concerns were unwisely neglected or worse.  And there were clearly organization and communication problems, which still leave an opportunity for improvement.



The Phattest Bubble You've Ever Seen?

Did a little sniffing around ... and uncovered what each of your New York Congressional delegates' homes are worth - as well as the the median value of homes in their districts.  Let's just say that some members live a bit phatter than their constituents (hence, the Phat Index, the difference between the two).

Also, for a kick in the ol' transparency ass, I put an asterisks next to each member of Congress who made me work extra hard for their home address.  Not that I mind working, but these folks now list themselves at a post office box rather than their home address on FEC filings - thing is, when they first started in Congress that wasn't the case (with the exception of Rep. McHugh who apparently has always been living out of a PO Box).  Not nice!


Rep Home Val Dist Median Phat Index
* Nita Lowey $2,170,000 $346,500 $1,823,500

Eliot Engel $1,460,000 $230,600 $1,229,400
* Sue Kelly $1,190,000 $188,800 $1,001,200

Tim Bishop $1,170,000 $176,700 $993,300

Gary Ackerman $1,000,000 $341,000 $659,000

Vito Fossella $997,252 $217,800 $779,452

Nydia Velazquez $922,824 $189,700 $733,124

Randy Kuhl $791,928 $87,700 $704,228

Steve Israel $684,292 $204,200 $480,092

Ed Towns $539,082 $193,900 $345,182
* Carolyn McCarthy $485,500 $224,700 $260,800

Greg Meeks $366,769 $180,000 $186,769
* Maurice Hinchey $365,090 $98,500 $266,590

Peter King $363,200 $224,500 $138,700
* Sherwood Boehlert $307,200 $75,300 $231,900

John Sweeney $275,310 $110,600 $164,710

Tom Reynolds $242,000 $97,600 $144,400

Jim Walsh $210,000 $89,000 $121,000
* Brian Higgins $124,900 $84,500 $40,400
* Mike McNulty $75,000 $100,500 -$25,500

Louise Slaughter N/A $76,900 N/A

Major Owens Co-op $214,800 N/A

Carolyn Maloney N/A $252,500 N/A

Joe Crowley N/A $204,900 N/A

Jerry Nadler N/A $260,000 N/A

Jose Serrano N/A $155,600 N/A

Anthony Weiner N/A $246,000 N/A
* John McHugh PO Box Only $71,900 N/A

Charles Rangel N/A $314,700 N/A

Note:

  • Home values brought to you by Zillow
  • Co-opsters' home values are harder to uncover; hence the plethora of N/As (I'm accepting help from anyone who has access to comparables)
  • A handful of the home values listed are the tax assessed values, or averages of the area; simply click on a particular home value to find out.
  • District median values brought to you by the good peeps at the Census Bureau


Change in Congress

In the latest Harris poll Bush’s job approval drops to 29% positive, though it is fully at 67% positive among Republicans, it is only 19% among independents and 10% among Democrats and there is no gender gap.  Only 24% feel the country is going in the right direction.  Will this mean the Republicans will lose control of Congress?

Approval of the job Congress is doing is a paltry 18% positive with Republican respondents having a 3-point worse opinion of the job Congress is doing than the Democrats.  When ask how Republican and Democratic members were doing in Congress those polled gave Republicans in Congress 20% positive and Democrats in Congress 23% positive.